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  <updated>2008-08-07T15:59:28-05:00</updated>
  <entry>
    <title>Perkins’ Prediction Comes True and Creates a New Dilemma</title>
    <link rel="alternate" type="text/html" href="http://www.rightwingwatch.org/content/perkins%E2%80%99-prediction-comes-true-and-creates-new-dilemma" />
    <id>http://www.rightwingwatch.org/content/perkins%E2%80%99-prediction-comes-true-and-creates-new-dilemma</id>
    <published>2007-10-23T14:57:36-05:00</published>
    <updated>2008-08-07T15:59:28-05:00</updated>
    <author>
      <name>Kyle</name>
    </author>
    <category term="Arlington Group" />
    <category term="Donald Wildmon" />
    <category term="Family Research Council" />
    <category term="Fred Thompson" />
    <category term="Gary Bauer" />
    <category term="James Dobson" />
    <category term="Mike Huckabee" />
    <category term="Mitt Romney" />
    <category term="Phil Burress" />
    <category term="Politics" />
    <category term="Religious Right" />
    <category term="Tony Perkins" />
    <summary type="html"><![CDATA[<p>Heading into the recent Values Voter   Summit, Family Research Council President Tony Perkins was careful to make clear   that it was unlikely that any one candidate would emerge from the event as the   Right&rsquo;s candidate of choice, thus rescuing them from their current <A title="http://www.nytimes.com/2007/10/01/us/politics/01evangelicals.html" href="http://www.nytimes.com/2007/10/01/us/politics/01evangelicals.html">dilemma</a> and <A title="http://www.rightwingwatch.org/2007/10/just_how_fractu.html" href="http://www.rightwingwatch.org/2007/10/just_how_fractu.html">confusion</a>.   &nbsp;&nbsp;But he also <A title="http://www.cbsnews.com/stories/2007/10/18/politics/main3382009.shtml" href="http://www.cbsnews.com/stories/2007/10/18/politics/main3382009.shtml">predicted</a> that the event would at least help narrow down the field a bit:   &nbsp;</p>
<blockquote><p>&ldquo;These are   the influencers, these are the talkers,&rdquo; Perkins said of the attendees that will   take over the Washington Hilton hotel. &ldquo;This could be when things start to shake   out and a candidate begins to emerge with a certain level of support. I don&rsquo;t   think anybody&rsquo;s going to walk away with a lock, but maybe one or two candidates,   maybe three, will begin to take off with strong support from the   base.&rdquo;</p></blockquote>
<p>The one candidate who got the   biggest boost from the Summit was Mike Huckabee, who came in <A title="http://www.rightwingwatch.org/2007/10/contested_vote.html" href="http://www.rightwingwatch.org/2007/10/contested_vote.html">second   place</a> in the straw poll and was the overwhelming favorite among those in   attendance &ndash; something which, oddly enough, only seems to have confused things   further: </p>
<blockquote>
<p>The   influential social conservatives who comprise the Arlington Group met over the   weekend to discuss the possibility of endorsing a presidential candidate and   could not reach a consensus, according to a source familiar with the   process.</p>
<p>Though   leaders of the individual organizations may make their own endorsements, those   selections "cannot be considered a blanket endorsement by the 'Religious   Right,'" according to the source.</p>
<p>While many   leaders want to endorse fan favorite Mike Huckabee, others are more hesitant.   The source informed me that "the dilemma is over whether to choose the preferred   candidate of their constituents or go with the pragmatic choice and risk   offending our base."</p>
<p>According to   the source, James Dobson of Focus on the Family likes Mitt Romney, Gary Bauer of   American Values prefers Fred Thompson, and Don Wildmon of the American Family   Association likes Huckabee. Tony Perkins of the Family Research Council is still   on the fence, but nearing a decision.</p>
</blockquote>
<p>In fact, very little has changed:   &nbsp;Supporting McCain or Giuliani was never much of a possibility and the   right-wing leadership has always been torn between Romney, Thompson, and, to a   lesser extent, Huckabee.&nbsp; The only new development is that some are becoming <A title="http://thecaucus.blogs.nytimes.com/2007/10/23/take-your-time-pick-your-candidate/" href="http://thecaucus.blogs.nytimes.com/2007/10/23/take-your-time-pick-your-candidate/">more   willing</a> to openly back Huckabee: </p>
    ]]></summary>
    <content type="html"><![CDATA[<p>Heading into the recent Values Voter   Summit, Family Research Council President Tony Perkins was careful to make clear   that it was unlikely that any one candidate would emerge from the event as the   Right&rsquo;s candidate of choice, thus rescuing them from their current <A title="http://www.nytimes.com/2007/10/01/us/politics/01evangelicals.html" href="http://www.nytimes.com/2007/10/01/us/politics/01evangelicals.html">dilemma</a> and <A title="http://www.rightwingwatch.org/2007/10/just_how_fractu.html" href="http://www.rightwingwatch.org/2007/10/just_how_fractu.html">confusion</a>.   &nbsp;&nbsp;But he also <A title="http://www.cbsnews.com/stories/2007/10/18/politics/main3382009.shtml" href="http://www.cbsnews.com/stories/2007/10/18/politics/main3382009.shtml">predicted</a> that the event would at least help narrow down the field a bit:   &nbsp;</p>
<blockquote><p>&ldquo;These are   the influencers, these are the talkers,&rdquo; Perkins said of the attendees that will   take over the Washington Hilton hotel. &ldquo;This could be when things start to shake   out and a candidate begins to emerge with a certain level of support. I don&rsquo;t   think anybody&rsquo;s going to walk away with a lock, but maybe one or two candidates,   maybe three, will begin to take off with strong support from the   base.&rdquo;</p></blockquote>
<p>The one candidate who got the   biggest boost from the Summit was Mike Huckabee, who came in <A title="http://www.rightwingwatch.org/2007/10/contested_vote.html" href="http://www.rightwingwatch.org/2007/10/contested_vote.html">second   place</a> in the straw poll and was the overwhelming favorite among those in   attendance &ndash; something which, oddly enough, only seems to have confused things   further: </p>
<blockquote>
<p>The   influential social conservatives who comprise the Arlington Group met over the   weekend to discuss the possibility of endorsing a presidential candidate and   could not reach a consensus, according to a source familiar with the   process.</p>
<p>Though   leaders of the individual organizations may make their own endorsements, those   selections "cannot be considered a blanket endorsement by the 'Religious   Right,'" according to the source.</p>
<p>While many   leaders want to endorse fan favorite Mike Huckabee, others are more hesitant.   The source informed me that "the dilemma is over whether to choose the preferred   candidate of their constituents or go with the pragmatic choice and risk   offending our base."</p>
<p>According to   the source, James Dobson of Focus on the Family likes Mitt Romney, Gary Bauer of   American Values prefers Fred Thompson, and Don Wildmon of the American Family   Association likes Huckabee. Tony Perkins of the Family Research Council is still   on the fence, but nearing a decision.</p>
</blockquote>
<p>In fact, very little has changed:   &nbsp;Supporting McCain or Giuliani was never much of a possibility and the   right-wing leadership has always been torn between Romney, Thompson, and, to a   lesser extent, Huckabee.&nbsp; The only new development is that some are becoming <A title="http://thecaucus.blogs.nytimes.com/2007/10/23/take-your-time-pick-your-candidate/" href="http://thecaucus.blogs.nytimes.com/2007/10/23/take-your-time-pick-your-candidate/">more   willing</a> to openly back Huckabee: </p>
<blockquote><p>Phil   Burress, president of the Ohio-based Citizens for Community Values and member of   the executive committee of the Arlington Group, declined to talk about the   meeting but said he has personally decided to support Mike Huckabee, the former   Arkansas governor and Baptist minister. Another well-respected Christian   conservative leader, Kelly Shackleford, a Texas lawyer, is also expected to come out on   behalf of Mr. Huckabee in the coming days.</p></blockquote>
<p>Given his rock-solid right-wing   record, the fact that some leaders are willing to back Huckabee is to be   expected - but it appears as if his strong performance at the Summit is <A title="http://www.amspec.org/blogger.asp?BlogID=8852" href="http://www.amspec.org/blogger.asp?BlogID=8852">changing the overall   dynamic</a>: </p>
<blockquote>
<p>Huckabee's   rock star reception at the Value Voters Summit made things more difficult. </p>
<p>Interestingly, the source described   a "new pragmatic narrative" that may be forming: "None of the top-tier can beat   Hillary anyway so why risk offending the base by snubbing Huckabee?"&nbsp;</p>
<p>Either way,   social conservative leaders are in a bind.</p>
<p>"If we don't   support Huckabee we tick off religious conservatives," the source lamented. "If   we push Huckabee we tick off everyone else. It's a tough situation to be   in."</p>
</blockquote>
<p>While there is an <A title="http://www.rightwingwatch.org/2007/10/backing_romney.html" href="http://www.rightwingwatch.org/2007/10/backing_romney.html">effort   afoot</a> to convince the right-wing leadership to rally behind Romney in order   to stop Giuliani, there now appears to be another effort afoot to rally these   same leaders behind Huckabee in order to simply avoid angering their own   activists. &nbsp;</p>
    ]]></content>
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